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International Trade ECON8069
Creation date：2024-05-29 17:07:43
Belonging category：经济Economics
International Trade

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International Trade

ECON8069 - Lecture 
Trade
Comparative Advantage
Modelling Trade - Exports, Imports, and Intervention
Free Trade - Pros and Cons
Textbook: Chapter 8
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 2 / 26
Comparative Advantage
Absolute Advantage
A situation where one country can produce a good/service at lower
physical cost (labour, capital, etc.) than another country.
Comparative Advantage
A situation where one country can produce a good/service at a lower
opportunity cost than another country.
Important - Every country has Comparative Advantage in something.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 3 / 26
Comparative Advantage - Example
Assume:
There are only two countries (AUS and FOR)
Only two goods are produced (Wheat and Toys)
Constant returns-to-scale within country
Hours needed per unit
Australia Foreign
Wheat (tonnes) 30 60
Toys (1000’s) 5 8
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 4 / 26
Comparative Advantage - Example
Hours needed per unit
Australia Foreign
Wheat (tonnes) 30 60
Toys (1000’s) 5 8
For Australia (without trade):
Opportunity Cost of Wheat is 6 units of Toys
Opportunity Cost of Toys is 1/6 units of Wheat
For Foreign:
Opportunity Cost of Wheat is 7.5 units of Toys
Opportunity Cost of Toys is 2/15 units of Wheat
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 5 / 26
Comparative Advantage - Example
For Australia (without trade):
Opportunity Cost of Wheat is 6 units of Toys
Opportunity Cost of Toys is 1/6 units of Wheat
For Foreign:
Opportunity Cost of Wheat is 7.5 units of Toys
Opportunity Cost of Toys is 2/15 units of Wheat
Australia has Comparative Advantage in Wheat (lower Opportunity
cost)
Foreign has Comparative Advantage in Toys (lower Opportunity cost)
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 6 / 26
Production Possibility Curve without Trade
Suppose:
Australia has 15,000 hours of labour:
Could produce up to 500 units of Wheat, or
could produce up to 3000 units of Toys.
Foreign has 48,000 hours of labour:
Could produce up to 800 units of Wheat, or
could produce up to 6000 units of Toys.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 7 / 26
Gains from Trade
Each country expands what it can consume by exporting the good it
has a comparative advantage in, and importing the other good.
An example production change; world production of both goods
increases.
Change in Wheat Change in Toys
AUS +6 -36
FOR -5 +37.5
WORLD +1 +1.5
The PPF with trade.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 8 / 26
Reasons for Comparative Advantage
1. Climate: Impacts agricultural production, tourism
2. Natural Resources: Oil in OPEC, gold in Australia, not Singapore
3. Technology/Human Capital: E.g. Growth of Australian wine industry,
manufacturer of high-speed ferries, exporter of education.
4. Capital-Labour Ratio: Capital abundant US and Europe produce
aeroplanes; Labour abundant Myanmar produces clothing and toys.
Comparative Advantage changes over time due to changes in these
factors. We observe dynamic comparative advantage.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 9 / 26
Wage Costs
Let the hourly wage be w in Australia, and w f in Foreign.
Monetary Cost per unit of production
Australia Foreign
Wheat (tonnes) 30w 60w f
Toys (1000’s) 5w 8w f
A Lowest Cost Producer (LCP) of a good is a county which can
produce each unit of the good at the lowest monetary cost.
The LCP will depend on the relative wages in each country.
Competition means goods will only be produced by a LCP.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 10 / 26
Lowest Cost Producer - Example
AUS is a LCP of Wheat iff 30w ≤ 60w f . That is, w/w f ≤ 2.
AUS is a LCP of Toys iff 5w ≤ 8w f . That is, w/w f ≤ 1.6.
Situations:
I. If w/w f < 1.6, then AUS is unique LCP of both goods.
II. If 1.6 ≤ w/w f ≤ 2, then AUS is a LCP of Wheat, and FOR is a LCP
of Toys.
III. If w/w f > 2, then FOR is LCP of both goods.
Situations I and III can be ruled out in equilibrium as one country is
producing no goods. Equilibrium relative wages are 1.6 ≤ w/w f ≤ 2.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 11 / 26
Production and Equilibrium Wages
Given Equilibrium Relative Wages, there are three cases:
X. If w/w f = 1.6, both are LCP of Toys, AUS is unique LCP of Wheat.
AUS produces Wheat and Toys.
FOR produces only Toys.
Y. If 1.6 < w/w f < 2, FOR is LCP of Toys, AUS is LCP of Wheat.
AUS produces only Wheat.
FOR produces only Toys.
Z. If w/w f = 2, FOR is unique LCP of Toys, both are LCP of Wheat.
AUS produces only Wheat.
FOR produces Wheat and Toys.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 12 / 26
Production and Equilibrium Wages
Regardless of wages, AUS produces and exports Wheat to buy Toys;
FOR produces and exports Toys to buy beef.
The particular equilibrium wage will depend on consumer preferences.
E.g. if consumer preference on the world PPF is in region X , then
w/w f must be 1.6.
A high productivity country pays higher wages; low productivity
countries compete by paying lower wages.
Wage differences are limited by differences in labour productivity.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 13 / 26
Welfare without Trade - Recall
Consumer Surplus is Value to Consumers of their consumption minus
their expenditure
The gap between the MB/Demand curve and the price paid, up to the
quantity consumed
Producer Surplus is Revenue from sales minus the cost of production
The gap between the MC/Supply curve and the price paid, up to the
quantity sold
Government Revenue/Spending may also feature into Total Surplus,
if the government intervenes in the market.
Deadweight Loss is the difference between the maximum possible
total surplus, and the total surplus that is actually realised.
The ‘without trade’ equilibrium is called the autarky equilibrium.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 14 / 26
‘Small’ Economies
An economy is a ‘small economy’ if it is small in size relative to the
world market.
Small economies are price-takers in the world market. There is a world
price, and any amount of goods can be bought and sold at that price.
Australia is (usually) a ‘small’ economy.
Most of the insights here also hold for ‘large’ economies, like China
and the USA.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 15 / 26
Exporting Country
If world price pw is greater than the autarky domestic price, then the
country wants to export goods.
This is caused by having a comparative advantage in production of
that good.
Domestically, exporting will cause the price to increase, the domestic
qd to fall, and domestic qs to increase.
Domestically, this sees an increase in Producer Surplus, a fall in
Consumer Surplus, and an increase in Total Surplus.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 16 / 26
Importing Country
If world price pw is less than the autarky domestic price, then the
country wants to import goods.
This is caused as foreign countries have a comparative advantage in
production of that good.
Domestically, importing will cause the price to fall, the domestic qd to
rise, and domestic qs to fall.
Domestically, this sees a decrease in Producer Surplus, an increase in
Consumer Surplus, and an increase in Total Surplus.
(ECON8069) Lecture 12 17 / 26
Opposition to Trade
Given that both imports and exports result in increased total surplus,
why do we see aversion to imports?
Gains can be large, but are widely dispersed among many consumers.
Each consumer benefits only a little.
Losses are smaller, but concentrated among a small number of
producers. Each producer is harmed substantially.
Case category
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CMP7000A CMP-7038B Math 263 LAW3016 CS371 STAT 334 FIN0008 ACC3004 STAT 371 ​COMP1921 MTH201 ACCT2000 UN3412 CIV6000 MATHS 3021 MATE7014 ECON1 CIBC6035 LAW121G COMM 321 CSC8204R TTM2033 CSCI 2600 MAE 115 LNG302 CENV6175W1 ECON30019 CPS2015 BST969 DDES9015 AMATH242 CS 1151 N1592 ACCT600 EG503G SMM519 EC318 Ecstatistics EEE 471 MARK2051 Topology COM00037H ACCT3000 MTHM501 EG501V COM00055H BUSN9085 GGR273 MATH 2B ITD102 MA214 ECON0060 ECE3114 ECMM447 Mechanics CCT361H5S BSAN3210 WELF2001 Fin3001 RESP5001 STA 137 Linguistics 101 CSCI368 CMPSC497 LUBS3655 OMBA 5355 BUSM2562 ​BFF5902 CYBR7001 CULT2005 ECON 7720 MTRX3760 FSE598 ​LUE1001 MGSC 7100 CS3240 COSC7500 ACCT3091 INFOGR TRAN 2080 DESIGN CIVE215001 CIVE2360 CPSC 8430 FNCE2003 Stoichiometry INFS6023 Quantitative Method Math 21D ECE5179 Design ​ECON8022 Chemical DMS 213 ADM1370 BFF5902 BFF2701 AGRI10051 AMN400 ECON7322 ​FINC5090 ​MATH1052 ​SciComp Elec4622 ​FINS5516 ENG 101 MMM143 CS431CA2 BSAN2201 EBSC7070 ES9v9-10 PLIN0009 DATA 8 MATH 101 BCPM0097 ​MAT 237 BISM2201 EEE8099 Physics 11 ECE2238B Biostat 234 ​ECON30009 INF10025 CHEM252 CCMA4008 CIVE 3007 STAT0031 ELEC ENG 3108 MGMT90140 CHEM 252 STAT3016 MMM095 ​MMGT6016 Legal STAT 311 ELEC9764 COMP 370 TCS 3053 EECS 1021 FIT1051 C/C++ EE3C COMP2003J COM398 COMP51915 Simulator FIN42330 8PRO102 PGD ELEC5160 XJCO1921 COMP5123M INFS 2042 CHE1148H ECA5313 IN3329 Microsoft Modeling B15 2TT COMP3687 COMP2432 DMS2030 KAN4TSF CFKG CSE 5322 CSE 445 STATS 3DA3 CHC5223 COMP1048 EL3105 EECS 3221 CS231 ME 4434 ITP4510 ITP4501 CSCI 5708 Controller EECE 5699 CPEN 231L CPN programs CSC8016 MATU9D2 ENGN4213 2. SVM. (10 points) Consider an SVM classifier using RBF kernel, and finish the following python code to search for the optimum kernel parameter γ. You are required to calculate the RBF function and search yourself, instead of using functions in Scikit-Learn (sklearn). def parameter search(gamma list ,Xtr,ytr,Xts,yts ,...): """ Parameters gamma list: A list of RBF kernel parameter gamma to search for Xtr: Training data, shape (ntr,nrow,ncol) ytr: Training labels, shape (ntr,) Xts: Test data, shape (nts,nrow,ncol) yts: Test labels, shape (nts,) ... Add other parameters as needed Returns: gamma optimum: The gamma with minimum error on Xts, yts """ ... return gamma optimum
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