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stat2008 REGRESSION MODELLING
Creation date：2024-05-29 16:42:49
Belonging category：统计学statistics
REGRESSION MODELLING

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REGRESSION MODELLING

WEEK 
REVISION OF BASIC STATISTICS
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POPULATION AND SAMPLE
Population (True world)
• A collection of the whole of something you are interested in.
• Parameters: true values describing the population, for example
µ, σ2. Usually they are unknown.
Sample (Your subjective world)
• A set of individuals randomly drawn from a population.
• Statistics: calculated from the sample served as estimators of
the parameters, for example X¯ , S2.
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PROPERTIES OF ESTIMATORS
• It is a random variables, e.g., X¯ .
• It has a probability distribution, often called sampling distribution.
• E(X¯ ) = µ, Var(X¯ ) = σ2/n.
• Central Limit Theorem (CLT): X¯ is asymptotically normally
distributed.
• Make statistical inferences: confidence interval and hypothesis
testing.
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REGRESSION
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WHAT IS REGRESSION?
• Statistical methodology that describes the relation between two
or more variables so that a response or outcome variable can be
estimated from the other explanatory variables.
• This methodology is widely used in business, the social and
behavioural sciences, the biological sciences, and many other
disciplines.
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WHAT IS REGRESSION?
Examples
• Predict sales of a product using relationship between sales and
amount spent on advertising (SLR).
• Predict performance of employee using relationship between
performance and aptitude test (SLR).
• Predict the size of the vocabulary of a child using relationship
between the size of vocabulary and the age of the child and
amount of education of the parents (MLR).
• Does the price of a house increase with increase in living area?
(MLR)
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RELATION BETWEEN VARIABLES
We should distinguish between functional relation and a statistical
relation between variables.
• A functional relation between two variables is expressed as a
mathematical formula,
Y = f (X ).
A functional relation is a “perfect” mapping from X to Y .
• A statistical relation is not perfect. The observations do not fall
directly on the curve of relationship and they are typically
scattered around this curve.
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RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN VARIABLES
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REGRESSION MODELS
Historical Origins
• The term regression was first used by Francis Galton in the late
19th century to explain a biological phenomenon he observed:
“regression towards the mean”.
• The height of children of both tall and short parents appeared to
“revert” or “regress” to the mean of the group.
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GALTON’S DATASET
This data set lists the individual observations for 934 children in
205 families on which Galton (1886) based his cross-tabulation.
How to formally describe the relationship?

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CMP7000A CMP-7038B Math 263 LAW3016 CS371 STAT 334 FIN0008 ACC3004 STAT 371 ​COMP1921 MTH201 ACCT2000 UN3412 CIV6000 MATHS 3021 MATE7014 ECON1 CIBC6035 LAW121G COMM 321 CSC8204R TTM2033 CSCI 2600 MAE 115 LNG302 CENV6175W1 ECON30019 CPS2015 BST969 DDES9015 AMATH242 CS 1151 N1592 ACCT600 EG503G SMM519 EC318 Ecstatistics EEE 471 MARK2051 Topology COM00037H ACCT3000 MTHM501 EG501V COM00055H BUSN9085 GGR273 MATH 2B ITD102 MA214 ECON0060 ECE3114 ECMM447 Mechanics CCT361H5S BSAN3210 WELF2001 Fin3001 RESP5001 STA 137 Linguistics 101 CSCI368 CMPSC497 LUBS3655 OMBA 5355 BUSM2562 ​BFF5902 CYBR7001 CULT2005 ECON 7720 MTRX3760 FSE598 ​LUE1001 MGSC 7100 CS3240 COSC7500 ACCT3091 INFOGR TRAN 2080 DESIGN CIVE215001 CIVE2360 CPSC 8430 FNCE2003 Stoichiometry INFS6023 Quantitative Method Math 21D ECE5179 Design ​ECON8022 Chemical DMS 213 ADM1370 BFF5902 BFF2701 AGRI10051 AMN400 ECON7322 ​FINC5090 ​MATH1052 ​SciComp Elec4622 ​FINS5516 ENG 101 MMM143 CS431CA2 BSAN2201 EBSC7070 ES9v9-10 PLIN0009 DATA 8 MATH 101 BCPM0097 ​MAT 237 BISM2201 EEE8099 Physics 11 ECE2238B Biostat 234 ​ECON30009 INF10025 CHEM252 CCMA4008 CIVE 3007 STAT0031 ELEC ENG 3108 MGMT90140 CHEM 252 STAT3016 MMM095 ​MMGT6016 Legal STAT 311 ELEC9764 COMP 370 TCS 3053 EECS 1021 FIT1051 C/C++ EE3C COMP2003J COM398 COMP51915 Simulator FIN42330 8PRO102 PGD ELEC5160 XJCO1921 COMP5123M INFS 2042 CHE1148H ECA5313 IN3329 Microsoft Modeling B15 2TT COMP3687 COMP2432 DMS2030 KAN4TSF CFKG CSE 5322 CSE 445 STATS 3DA3 CHC5223 COMP1048 EL3105 EECS 3221 CS231 ME 4434 ITP4510 ITP4501 CSCI 5708 Controller EECE 5699 CPEN 231L CPN programs CSC8016 MATU9D2 ENGN4213 2. SVM. (10 points) Consider an SVM classifier using RBF kernel, and finish the following python code to search for the optimum kernel parameter γ. You are required to calculate the RBF function and search yourself, instead of using functions in Scikit-Learn (sklearn). def parameter search(gamma list ,Xtr,ytr,Xts,yts ,...): """ Parameters gamma list: A list of RBF kernel parameter gamma to search for Xtr: Training data, shape (ntr,nrow,ncol) ytr: Training labels, shape (ntr,) Xts: Test data, shape (nts,nrow,ncol) yts: Test labels, shape (nts,) ... Add other parameters as needed Returns: gamma optimum: The gamma with minimum error on Xts, yts """ ... return gamma optimum
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