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ECON47815
Econometric Methods
SUMMATIVE ASSIGNMENT - ECON47815 Econometric Methods
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Overview
Congratulations! The prestigious consulting firm of Gu’s Econometric Consulting
Services (GECS) has hired you. Your first task involves providing econometric advice
and analysis in an ongoing legal case in Sydney, Australia. A chemical firm
(ChemXcom) has been found guilty of various offences under the Federal
Government’s Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act. These
offences relate to illegal dumping of chemicals and the resultant pollution associated
with one of the firm’s plants in a particular area in the outer suburbs of Sydney over
the period 2008 to 2011. While guilt has been determined, the Court has not yet
assessed damages. One aspect of damages is a claim for compensation being made
by people in the affected community where the evidence being presented is in terms
of the alleged impact on housing prices.
Not surprisingly in such cases, there is considerable disagreement between both sides
of the case in terms of the amount of damages. Again, ChemXcom has accepted the
guilty verdict and they do not intend to appeal. The case is now about quantum – how
much will the firm be liable for in terms of damages?
The judge in the case is not convinced that the damages amount to $48,000 per
household, which is the initial claim submitted by the plaintiffs. She is also not satisfied
with the quality of the econometric work produced by Cowgate Consulting Group
(CCG) on behalf of the defendant. She has called in GECS to act as the independent
arbitrator who will report directly to her. In outlining what is required, the judge has
stressed that the central question to be addressed is:
ECON47815
Econometric Methods
Postgraduate Programmes 2021/22
2
In the affected community, what was the impact on housing prices that can be
attributable to the pollution and degradation of the environment caused by
ChemXcom?
GECS has been provided with a report from CCG, retained by the defendant, together
with the data on which the CCG’s analysis was based.
Attachment 1: CCG Report
The PDF file Main_CCGreport.pdf contains the report submitted by CCG on behalf of
the defendant.
Attachment 2: CCG Data
The Stata file Main_CCGdata.dta stores the data used in the CCG report. You will find
142 observations on 11 variables, which include:
id: a house identifier
yr: year of sale
area: area of house (square meters)
size: size of block of land (square meters)
age: age of house (years)
distance: distance of house from ChemXcom plant (kilometers)
rooms: number of rooms in house
brooms: number of bathrooms in house
crate: neighbourhood crime rate (annual number of offences per 1000 people)
air: annual air quality index
price: real sale price of house (in ‘000s of 2010 dollars)
ECON47815
Econometric Methods
Postgraduate Programmes 2021/22
3
SUMMATIVE ASSESSMENT TASK
Produce a written report which addresses the judge’s question. As part of your report,
you must:
confirm whether you can replicate Table 1, equation (2), and equation (3)
reported by the defendant’s consulting firm, CCG;
critically evaluate their econometric approach;
propose your own econometric approach which addresses the limitations that
you have identified;
report and discuss new estimation results based on your own approach;
and outline any additional data that you require to improve the quality of your
econometric analysis.
GENERAL TIPS
Your report can follow any structure as long as you express your ideas clearly
in academic English. You can include an executive summary if you think it will
help you to communicate your ideas effectively. If you would like further
guidance on how to write an empirical research report, you can consult
“Chapter 19. Carrying Out an Empirical Project” in the required textbook for this
module, i.e., Introductory Econometrics (7th ed.) by Jeffrey M. Wooldridge.
In your critical evaluation and econometric analysis, you should focus on issues
that enable you to demonstrate your understanding of the content taught in this
module. For example, you can consider whether the CCG’s justification for their
model specification is tenable given the algebraic and statistical properties of
the OLS estimator; whether the CCG has paid due attention to omitted variable
bias; and whether the CCG has followed an appropriate approach to hypothesis
testing.
Your additional data requirements must be stated as precisely as possible. For
example, you must not simply write that you require an instrumental variable:
You must name what instrumental variable you have in mind, summarise what
you will use it for, and explain why you expect it to be relevant and exogenous.